The results of the study showed the likely number of new patients daily for the next month.
Case 1: No theoretical measures
— 9,140 projected average cases per day, with lowest 1,308 cases per day and maximum 28,678.
Case 2: Closed entertainment venues in risky provinces
— 2,996 projected average cases per day with 817 the lowest and 7,244 maximum.
Case 3: Closed entertainment venues in risky provinces and focus on personal behaviour adjustments
— 934 projected average cases per day with 475 cases per day the lowest and maximum 1,589.
Case 4: Closure of entertainment venues in risky provinces, adjusting personal behaviour and reducing public gathering activities
— 593 projected average cases per day with lowest of 378 per day and 857 maximum.
Case 5: Closed entertainment venues in risky provinces, focus on personal behaviour adjustment, reducing group activities and working from home
— 391 projected average cases per day with 303 the lowest per day and 484 the maximum.
Dr Sophon Iamsirithaworn, director-general of the Communicable Diseases Division under the Department of Disease Control, said that Covid-19 infection was found to be increasing quickly and spreading in many provinces. Most of them are linked to entertainment venues, pubs and karaoke bars. To reduce the risk of a major outbreak, especially during Songkran, four important measures are necessary.
▪︎Social measures: Reduce social gatherings and unnecessary travel across provinces. Community leaders have to find and track people arriving from vulnerable areas and promote preventive measures.
▪︎ Public health measures: Proactive screening, separating groups of high-risk and low-risk people to narrow down the spread, provide thorough care to reduce morbidity, and vaccinate people to reduce the severity of the disease.
▪︎ Individual measures: DMHTTA is needed for individuals (D – distancing, M – wearing mask , H – washing hands, T – taking temperature, T – testing for Covid- 19 , A – use applications, such as ThaiChana and MorChana). Those who visit high-risk areas must be strictly self-quarantined, especially those going to entertainment venues
▪︎ Organisational measures: Focus on work-from-home; online meetings; arrange learning and training online , and hold teleconference, which can replace on-site meetings effectively.
Source: The Nation